====== Welcome to the AI Impacts Wiki! ======

[[meta:AI Impacts|AI Impacts]] aims to help answer [[research_problems:ai_impacts_key_questions_of_interest|decision-relevant questions]] about the future of [[clarifying_concepts:artificial_intelligence|artificial intelligence]]. The [[meta:AI_Impacts_Wiki|AI Impacts Wiki]] aims to clearly document what is known so far about the answers to these questions. [[https://aiimpacts.org|AI Impacts]] also publishes [[https://aiimpacts.org/research-reports/|research reports]], and the [[https://blog.aiimpacts.org/|AI Impacts blog]]. For the main AI Impacts website, including information on funding or working at [[meta:ai_impacts|AI Impacts]], see [[https://aiimpacts.org]].

==== High level questions ====

  * [[arguments_for_ai_risk:is_ai_an_existential_threat_to_humanity:start|Is AI an existential risk to humanity?]] 
  * [[ai_timelines:start|When will AI systems with all the capacities of humans be developed?]]
  * [[featured_articles:likelihood_of_discontinuous_progress_around_the_development_of_agi|How rapid is the development of AI likely to be near human-level?]]
  * [[speed_of_ai_transition:range_of_human_performance|How wide is the range of human performance?]] 
  * [[research_problems:ai_impacts_key_questions_of_interest|(More)]]

See [[https://wiki.aiimpacts.org/doku.php?id=start&do=index|the sitemap]] for all pages organized by topic.

==== Featured pages ====

[{{ :joshua-j-cotten-ho93gvtrww8-unsplash.jpg?nolink&200|The monarch butterfly [[power_of_evolution:evolution_engineering_comparison:how_energy_efficient_are_human-engineered_flight_designs_relative_to_natural_ones|can fly further]] on one kilojoule of energy than any man-made machine we know of.}}]
  * [[ai_timelines:predictions_of_human-level_ai_timelines:ai_timeline_surveys:2023_expert_survey_on_progress_in_ai|2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI]]
  * [[featured_articles:likelihood_of_discontinuous_progress_around_the_development_of_agi|Likelihood of discontinuous progress around the development of AGI]] 
  * [[featured_articles:fiction_relevant_to_ai_futurism|Fiction relevant to AI futurism
]]
  * [[power_of_evolution:evolution_engineering_comparison:how_energy_efficient_are_human-engineered_flight_designs_relative_to_natural_ones|How energy efficient are human-engineered flight designs relative to natural ones?]]
  * [[featured_articles:time_for_ai_to_cross_the_human_performance_range_in_imagenet_image_classification|Time for AI to cross the human performance range in ImageNet image classification]]
  * [[ai_timelines:predictions_of_human-level_ai_timelines:ai_timeline_surveys:surveys_on_fractional_progress_towards_hlai|Surveys on fractional progress towards HLAI]]
  * [[featured_articles:precedents_for_economic_n-year_doubling_before_4n-year_doubling|Precedents for economic n-year doubling before 4n-year doubling]]
  * [[ai_timelines:resolutions_of_mathematical_conjectures_over_time|Resolutions of mathematical conjectures over time]]
  * [[featured_articles:preliminary_survey_of_prescient_actions|Preliminary survey of prescient actions]] 
  * [[featured_articles:evidence_against_current_methods_leading_to_human_level_artificial_intelligence|Evidence against current methods leading to human level artificial intelligence]]
  * [[ai_timelines:investigation_into_the_relationship_between_neuron_count_and_intelligence_across_differing_cortical_architectures|Investigation into the relationship between neuron count and intelligence across differing cortical architectures]] 

==== Using this wiki ====

For information about using this wiki, see the page [[wiki:howto|wiki:howto]].

If you have feedback on anything on this site, leave it at [[meta:ai_impacts|AI Impacts]]' [[https://aiimpacts.org/feedback/|feedback form]].