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arguments_for_ai_risk:is_ai_an_existential_threat_to_humanity:start [2023/05/21 01:32]
rickkorzekwa [Background]
arguments_for_ai_risk:is_ai_an_existential_threat_to_humanity:start [2024/05/27 18:41]
katjagrace [Scenarios and supporting arguments]
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 //This page is under active work and may be updated soon.//  //This page is under active work and may be updated soon.// 
  
-The balance of evidence appears to suggest that AI poses a substantial existential risk, though none of the arguments that we know of appear be strongly compelling evidence.+The balance of evidence appears to suggest that AI poses a substantial existential risk, though none of the arguments that we know of appear be conclusive evidence.
  
 ===== Background ===== ===== Background =====
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 Many [[arguments_for_ai_risk:list_of_sources_arguing_for_existential_risk_from_ai|thinkers]] believe advanced [[clarifying_concepts:artificial_intelligence|artificial intelligence]] (AI) poses a large threat to humanity's long term survival or flourishing. Here we review evidence. Many [[arguments_for_ai_risk:list_of_sources_arguing_for_existential_risk_from_ai|thinkers]] believe advanced [[clarifying_concepts:artificial_intelligence|artificial intelligence]] (AI) poses a large threat to humanity's long term survival or flourishing. Here we review evidence.
  
-For views of specific people working on AI, see [[arguments_for_ai_risk:views_of_ai_developers_on_risk_from_ai|this page]]+For views of specific people working on AI, see [[arguments_for_ai_risk:views_of_ai_developers_on_risk_from_ai|this page]].
  
 Note that arguments included here are not intended to be straightforwardly independent lines of evidence. They may instead represent different ways of conceptualizing and reasoning about the same underlying situation. Note that arguments included here are not intended to be straightforwardly independent lines of evidence. They may instead represent different ways of conceptualizing and reasoning about the same underlying situation.
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 ===== Scenarios and supporting arguments ===== ===== Scenarios and supporting arguments =====
  
-Advanced AI could conceivably threaten humanity's future via several different disaster scenarios, each of which is suggested by different arguments. We consider these scenarios and arguments here, one at a time.+Advanced AI could conceivably threaten humanity's future via several different disaster scenarios, each of which is suggested by different arguments. We consider these scenarios and arguments here, one at a time.  
 + 
 +There are various [[arguments_for_ai_risk:is_ai_an_existential_threat_to_humanity:scenarios_and_arguments|scenarios and supporting arguments]]
  
 ==== Scenario: malign AI agents control the future ==== ==== Scenario: malign AI agents control the future ====
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   * [[arguments_for_ai_risk:list_of_sources_arguing_for_existential_risk_from_ai|List of sources arguing for existential risk from AI]]   * [[arguments_for_ai_risk:list_of_sources_arguing_for_existential_risk_from_ai|List of sources arguing for existential risk from AI]]
   * [[will_superhuman_ai_be_created:start|Will superhuman AI be created?]]   * [[will_superhuman_ai_be_created:start|Will superhuman AI be created?]]
 +  * [[arguments_for_ai_risk:list_of_possible_risks_from_ai|List of possible risks from AI]]
  
 ====== Notes ====== ====== Notes ======
  
arguments_for_ai_risk/is_ai_an_existential_threat_to_humanity/start.txt · Last modified: 2024/05/28 19:23 by katjagrace