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--- arguments_for_ai_risk:views_of_ai_developers_on_risk_from_ai [2023/06/02 23:24]
rickkorzekwa Added note at top that the page is in an early, unfinished state
+++ arguments_for_ai_risk:views_of_ai_developers_on_risk_from_ai [2024/03/09 18:18] (current)
katjagrace [Geoffrey Hinton, 2018 Turing Award recipient]
@@ Line 120: / Line 120: @@
 ==== Geoffrey Hinton, 2018 Turing Award recipient ====
-> I think there are two existential threats that are much bigger than AI. One is global nuclear war, and the other is [synthetic biology]. I think that's what people should be worried about, not ultra-intelligent systems.
+>If I were advising governments, I would say that there’s a 10 per cent chance these things will wipe out humanity in the next 20 years. I think that would be a reasonable number
-> I hope the rewards [of AI] will outweigh the downsides, but I don't know whether they will, and that's an issue of social systems, not with the technology.
+//Financial Times [[https://www.ft.com/content/c64592ac-a62f-4e8e-b99b-08c869c83f4b|interview]], Feb 2024//
-//[[https://www.google.com/books/edition/_/e4d7DwAAQBAJ|Architects of Intelligence]] pp 96-97, Martin Ford, 2018//
+> There's a serious danger that we'll get things smarter than us fairly soon and that these things might get bad motives and take control
+//NPR [[https://www.npr.org/2023/05/28/1178673070/the-godfather-of-ai-sounds-alarm-about-potential-dangers-of-ai|interview]], May 2023//
+>My big worry is, sooner or later someone will wire into them the ability to create their own subgoals... I think it’ll very quickly realize that getting more control is a very good subgoal because it helps you achieve other goals... And if these things get carried away with getting more control, we’re in trouble.
+>And if [AI models] are much smarter than us, they’ll be very good at manipulating us. You won’t realize what’s going on... So even if they can’t directly pull levers, they can certainly get us to pull levers. It turns out if you can manipulate people, you can invade a building in Washington without ever going there yourself.
+//[[https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/05/03/1072589/video-geoffrey-hinton-google-ai-risk-ethics/|EmTech Digital 2023]], May 2023//
 ==== Yann LeCun, Meta, Chief AI Scientist, 2018 Turing Award recipient ====

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