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--- arguments_for_ai_risk:views_of_ai_developers_on_risk_from_ai [2023/07/18 16:38]
harlanstewart
+++ arguments_for_ai_risk:views_of_ai_developers_on_risk_from_ai [2024/03/09 18:18] (current)
katjagrace [Geoffrey Hinton, 2018 Turing Award recipient]
@@ Line 119: / Line 119: @@
 ==== Geoffrey Hinton, 2018 Turing Award recipient ====
+>If I were advising governments, I would say that there’s a 10 per cent chance these things will wipe out humanity in the next 20 years. I think that would be a reasonable number
+//Financial Times [[https://www.ft.com/content/c64592ac-a62f-4e8e-b99b-08c869c83f4b|interview]], Feb 2024//
 > There's a serious danger that we'll get things smarter than us fairly soon and that these things might get bad motives and take control
 //NPR [[https://www.npr.org/2023/05/28/1178673070/the-godfather-of-ai-sounds-alarm-about-potential-dangers-of-ai|interview]], May 2023//
+>My big worry is, sooner or later someone will wire into them the ability to create their own subgoals... I think it’ll very quickly realize that getting more control is a very good subgoal because it helps you achieve other goals... And if these things get carried away with getting more control, we’re in trouble.
+>And if [AI models] are much smarter than us, they’ll be very good at manipulating us. You won’t realize what’s going on... So even if they can’t directly pull levers, they can certainly get us to pull levers. It turns out if you can manipulate people, you can invade a building in Washington without ever going there yourself.
+//[[https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/05/03/1072589/video-geoffrey-hinton-google-ai-risk-ethics/|EmTech Digital 2023]], May 2023//
 ==== Yann LeCun, Meta, Chief AI Scientist, 2018 Turing Award recipient ====

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