responses_to_ai:technological_inevitability:incentivized_technologies_not_pursued:start
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responses_to_ai:technological_inevitability:incentivized_technologies_not_pursued:start [2023/01/06 19:32] jeffreyheninger Adding some more examples from the comments of Katja's Slowing AI post |
responses_to_ai:technological_inevitability:incentivized_technologies_not_pursued:start [2023/10/23 17:19] (current) jeffreyheninger Atomic gardening was apparently more common than I thought |
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| These are cases where incentives to pursue a technology were overcome by concerns about downsides not imminently accruing to the decision-maker (e.g. risks to distant people, ethical concerns). These cases are being collected via the [[responses_to_ai: | These are cases where incentives to pursue a technology were overcome by concerns about downsides not imminently accruing to the decision-maker (e.g. risks to distant people, ethical concerns). These cases are being collected via the [[responses_to_ai: | ||
| + | |||
| + | === Investigated cases === | ||
| + | |||
| + | ^ Technology ^ Key Actors ^ Value Resisted ^ Time Period ^ Explanation ^ | ||
| + | | [[responses_to_ai: | ||
| + | | [[responses_to_ai: | ||
| + | | [[responses_to_ai: | ||
| === Plausible cases === | === Plausible cases === | ||
| - | This is a non-exhaustive list of plausible cases. Inclusion on this list does not imply any degree of confidence. | + | This is a non-exhaustive list of plausible cases that we have not investigated. |
| - | * Geoengineering, | + | |
| * Chlorofluorocarbons, | * Chlorofluorocarbons, | ||
| * Nanotechnology, | * Nanotechnology, | ||
| Line 17: | Line 23: | ||
| * Genetic engineering of humans | * Genetic engineering of humans | ||
| * Some scientific studies prevented by the burden of IRB / GDPR compliance | * Some scientific studies prevented by the burden of IRB / GDPR compliance | ||
| - | * Human challenge trials, especially for covid vaccines | ||
| * Recreational drug development | * Recreational drug development | ||
| * Dietary restrictions, | * Dietary restrictions, | ||
| * GMOs, in some countries | * GMOs, in some countries | ||
| - | * Atomic gardening | ||
| - | * Nuclear power, in some countries | ||
| * Use of nuclear explosions in construction | * Use of nuclear explosions in construction | ||
| * Fracking, in some countries | * Fracking, in some countries | ||
| * Various weapons (nuclear, chemical, biological, land mines, etc), in some countries and at some times | * Various weapons (nuclear, chemical, biological, land mines, etc), in some countries and at some times | ||
| - | === Investigated cases === | ||
| - | * //(To be added)// | + | ==== Other notable failures of selfish expected value maximization |
| - | + | ||
| - | ==== Other notable failures of rational action or foresight | + | |
| === Plausible cases === | === Plausible cases === | ||
| + | (We have not investigated these cases) | ||
| + | |||
| * AI winters | * AI winters | ||
| * Delay in nuclear weapons research early in WWII | * Delay in nuclear weapons research early in WWII | ||
| * Excalibur | * Excalibur | ||
| - | === Investigated cases === | ||
| - | * //(To be added)// | ||
responses_to_ai/technological_inevitability/incentivized_technologies_not_pursued/start.1673033559.txt.gz · Last modified: 2023/01/06 19:32 by jeffreyheninger
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