responses_to_ai:technological_inevitability:incentivized_technologies_not_pursued:start
This is an old revision of the document!
Table of Contents
Incentivized technologies not pursued
This is a collection of cases where someone seemingly had a large incentive to pursue a technology, and did not.
Lists
'Resisted technological temptations'
These are cases where incentives to pursue a technology were overcome by concerns about downsides not imminently accruing to the decision-maker (e.g. risks to distant people, ethical concerns). These cases are being collected via the Resisted Technological Temptations Project.
Plausible cases
This is a non-exhaustive list of plausible cases. Inclusion on this list does not imply any degree of confidence.
- Chlorofluorocarbons, many actors, 1985-present
- Nanotechnology, scientists and governments, five decades ago to present
- Airships / Zeppelins
- Genetic engineering of humans
- Some scientific studies prevented by the burden of IRB / GDPR compliance
- Recreational drug development
- Dietary restrictions, in most (all?) human cultures
- GMOs, in some countries
- Atomic gardening
- Use of nuclear explosions in construction
- Fracking, in some countries
- Various weapons (nuclear, chemical, biological, land mines, etc), in some countries and at some times
Investigated cases
- Geoengineering, many actors, present, scientist opposition inhibits research needed for others' enthusiasm
- Nuclear power, in some countries
- Human challenge trials, especially for COVID-19 vaccines
Other notable failures of selfish expected value maximization in pursuing technologies
Plausible cases
- AI winters
- Delay in nuclear weapons research early in WWII
- Excalibur
Investigated cases
- (To be added)
responses_to_ai/technological_inevitability/incentivized_technologies_not_pursued/start.1680220648.txt.gz · Last modified: by jeffreyheninger
