responses_to_ai:technological_inevitability:incentivized_technologies_not_pursued:start
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Table of Contents
Incentivized technologies not pursued
This is a collection of cases where someone seemingly had a large incentive to pursue a technology, and did not.
Lists
'Resisted technological temptations'
These are cases where incentives to pursue a technology were overcome by concerns about downsides not imminently accruing to the decision-maker (e.g. risks to distant people, ethical concerns). These cases are being collected via the Resisted Technological Temptations Project.
Investigated cases
- Geoengineering, many actors, present, scientist opposition inhibits research needed for others' enthusiasm
- Nuclear power, in some countries
- Human challenge trials, especially for COVID-19 vaccines
Plausible cases
This is a non-exhaustive list of plausible cases that we have not investigated. Inclusion on this list does not imply any particular degree of confidence.
- Chlorofluorocarbons, many actors, 1985-present
- Nanotechnology, scientists and governments, five decades ago to present
- Airships / Zeppelins
- Genetic engineering of humans
- Some scientific studies prevented by the burden of IRB / GDPR compliance
- Recreational drug development
- Dietary restrictions, in most (all?) human cultures
- GMOs, in some countries
- Atomic gardening
- Use of nuclear explosions in construction
- Fracking, in some countries
- Various weapons (nuclear, chemical, biological, land mines, etc), in some countries and at some times
Other notable failures of selfish expected value maximization in pursuing technologies
Plausible cases
(We have not investigated these cases)
- AI winters
- Delay in nuclear weapons research early in WWII
- Excalibur
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