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List of AI Impacts' citations

Published 28 June, 2016; last updated 25, January 2024

A non-exhaustive collection of places where AI Impacts’ work has been cited.

2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI

Places where the 2023 ESPAI has been cited:

Henshall, Will. 2024. "When Might AI Outsmart Us? It Depends Who You Ask" TIME
Plumb, Taryn. 2024. "Survey says there’s a 50% chance AI beats humans at all tasks in 20 years" VentureBeat
Piper, Kelsey. 2024. "Thousands of AI experts are torn about what they’ve created, new study finds" Vox
Nolan, Beatrice. 2024. "There's only a 5% chance of AI making humans extinct, a study featuring 2,700 AI researchers has found" Business Insider
Hsu, Jeremy. 2024. "There’s a 5% chance of AI causing humans to go extinct, say scientists" New Scientist
Moon, Jenna. 2024. "Researchers think there’s a 5% chance AI could wipe out humanity" Semafor
Patrick, Holly. 2024. "Chance that AI could cause humans to go extinct, scientists say" Independent
Zeff, Maxwell. 2024. "Researchers Say There’s a 5% Chance That AI Will Cause Human Extinction" Gizmodo
Krämer, Katrina. 2024. "AI & robotics briefing: There’s a 5% risk that AI will wipe out humanity"Nature Briefing ===== 2022 Expert Survey on Progress in AI ===== Places where the 2022 ESPAI has been cited: - Department for Science, Innovation and Technology. 2023. “Frontier AI: capabilities and risks – discussion paper” UK Government - Koessler, Leonie, et al. 2023. “Risk Assessment at AGI Companies: A Review of Popular Risk Assessment Techniques From Other Safety-Critical Industries” Centre for the Governance of AI - 2023. “Urging an International AI Treaty: An Open Letter” AItreaty.org - Titcomb, James. 2023. “‘This is his climate change’: The experts helping Rishi Sunak seal his legacy” The Telegraph - Holt, Lester. 2023. “AI ‘race to recklessness’ could have dire consequences, tech experts warn in new interview” NBC Nightly News - Feldman, Noah. 2023. “Regulating AI Will Be Essential. And Complicated.” Bloomberg - Wallace-Wells, David. 2023. “A.I. Is Being Built by People Who Think It Might Destroy Us” The New York Times - Roser, Max. 2023. “AI timelines: What do experts in artificial intelligence expect for the future?” Our World in Data - Klein, Ezra. 2023. “Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Kelsey Piper” The New York Times - Klein, Ezra. 2023. “This Changes Everything” The New York Times - Samuel, Sigal. 2023. “The case for slowing down AI" Vox - Lopez, German. 2023. ”Using A.I. in Everyday Life“ The New York Times - 2023. ”How generative models could go wrong“ The Economist - Harari, Yuval, et al. 2023. ”You Can Have the Blue Pill or the Red Pill, and We’re Out of Blue Pills“ The New York Times - Hammond, Samuel. 2023. ”We Need a Manhattan Project for AI Safety“ Politico - Nay, John. 2022. ”Aligning AI with Humans by Leveraging Law as Data“ Center for Legal Informatics, Stanford University ===== 'Let's think about slowing down AI' | Katja Grace ===== Places where Katja Grace's blogpost 'Let's think about slowing down AI' has been cited: - Samuel, Sigal. 2023. ”The case for slowing down AI" Vox - Klein, Ezra. 2023. “This Changes Everything” The New York Times ===== Interviews ===== Places where AI Impacts researchers have been interviewed: - Samuel, Sigal. 2023. “The case for slowing down AI" Vox - Lopez, German. 2023. ”Using A.I. in Everyday Life“ The New York Times ===== 'Will AI end everything? A guide to guessing' | Katja Grace | EAG Bay Area 23 ===== Places where Katja Grace's talk at EA Global Bay Area 2023, 'Will AI end everything? A guide to guessing', was cited: - Lam, Donican. 2023. ”FOCUS: Do AI bots like ChatGPT threaten humanity if left unchecked?“ Kyodo news ===== AI Timelines ===== <HTML> <ol> <li><div class=“li”>Baumann, Tobias. 2017. “<a href=“https://centerforreducingsuffering.org/research/intro/”>S-risks: An introduction </a>“. <a href=“http://arxiv.org/abs/1512.05849”></a><em>Center for Reducing Suffering </em> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”>Brundage, Miles. 2016. “<a href=“http://arxiv.org/pdf/1512.05849.pdf”>Modeling Progress in AI</a>“. <a href=“http://arxiv.org/abs/1512.05849”>arXiv:1512.05849</a>. <em>arXiv. </em> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”>McClusky, Peter. 2016. “<a href=“http://www.bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2016/06/08/agi-timelines/”>AGI Timelines</a>“. <em>Bayesian Investor Blog. (<a href=“http://web.archive.org/web/20160629010347/http://www.bayesianinvestor.com/blog/index.php/2016/06/08/agi-timelines/”>archive</a>)</em> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”>Muehlhauser, Luke. 2015. “<a href=“http://www.openphilanthropy.org/focus/global-catastrophic-risks/potential-risks-advanced-artificial-intelligence/ai-timelines”>What Do We Know about AI Timelines?</a>” <em>Open Philanthropy Project.</em> (<a href=“https://web.archive.org/web/20160629005328/http://www.openphilanthropy.org/focus/global-catastrophic-risks/potential-risks-advanced-artificial-intelligence/ai-timelines”>archive</a>) </div></li> <li><div class=“li”>Muehlhauser, Luke. 2015. “<a href=“http://www.openphilanthropy.org/focus/global-catastrophic-risks/potential-risks-advanced-artificial-intelligence/what-should-we-learn-past-ai-forecasts”>What should we learn from past AI forecasts?</a>” <em>Open Philanthropy Project.</em> (<a href=“https://web.archive.org/web/20160511205309/http://www.openphilanthropy.org/focus/global-catastrophic-risks/potential-risks-advanced-artificial-intelligence/what-should-we-learn-past-ai-forecasts”>archive</a>) </div></li> </ol> </HTML> ===== Computing Power and the Brain ===== - Roehrl, Richard. 2022. ”Conceptualizing future scenarios of artificial intelligence – from energy servants to AI servants“ United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs - Blue, Charles. 2021. ”Could Quantum Computing Revolutionize Our Study of Human Cognition?“ Association for Psychological Science - Carlsmith, Joseph. 2020. ”New Report on How Much Computational Power It Takes to Match the Human Brain“ Open Philanthropy Project - Hsu, Jeremy. 2016. ”Estimate: Human Brain 30 Times Faster than Best Supercomputers“ IEEE Spectrum (archive) - Sandberg, Anders. 2016. ”Energetics of the brain and AI“ Future of Humanity Institute ===== Cost of Computing ===== - John, Andrew, et al. 2022. ”AI and Compute“ Center for Security and Emerging Technology - 2018. ”Creative Disruption: The impact of emerging technologies on the creative economy“ World Economic Forum - Hoffman, Ben. 2016. ”Paths to singleton: a hierarchical conceptual framework“ Ben Models the World (archive) ===== Mathematical Conjectures ===== <HTML> <ol> <li><div class=“li”>Future of Life Institute. 2015. “<a href=“http://futureoflife.org/data/documents/suggested_research.pdf”>A survey of research questions for robust and beneficial AI</a>“. <em>The Future of Life Institute</em>. </div></li> </ol> </HTML> ===== Expert Predictions ===== <HTML> <ol> <li><div class=“li”>Hanson, Robin. 2016. “<a href=“http://ageofem.com/”>Age of Em</a>“. <em>Oxford University Press</em>. </div></li> </ol> </HTML> ===== Discontinuous Technological Progress Bounties ===== <HTML> <ol> <li><div class=“li”>Hsu, Jeremy. 2016. “<a href=“http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/lovesick-cyborg/2015/09/02/making-sure-ais-rapid-rise-is-no-surprise/#.V3MiTZMrLBJ”>Making Sure AI’s Rapid Rise Is No Surprise</a>“. <em>Discover Blogs: Lovesick Cyborg</em>. (<a href=“http://web.archive.org/web/20160305013903/http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/lovesick-cyborg/2015/09/02/making-sure-ais-rapid-rise-is-no-surprise/”>archive</a>) </div></li> </ol> </HTML> ===== 2016 Expert Survey on Progress in AI ===== <HTML> <ol> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Barnett, Matthew, et al. 2023. “</span><a href=“https://epochai.org/blog/the-direct-approach”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>The Direct Approach</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“.</span> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”><em>Epoch</em></span><em><span style=“font-weight: 400;”></span></em> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Scharre, Paul. 2022. “</span><a href=“https://www.paulscharre.com/four-battlegrounds”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>FOUR BATTLEGROUNDS: Power in the Age of Artificial Intelligence</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“.</span> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”><em>W. W. Norton & Company</em></span><em><span style=“font-weight: 400;”></span></em> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Franke, Ulrike. 2021. “</span><a href=“https://op.europa.eu/en/publication-detail/-/publication/f1ab0057-d55e-11eb-895a-01aa75ed71a1/language-en/format-PDF/source-216549379”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Artificial Intelligence diplomacy – Artificial intelligence governance as a new European Union external policy tool</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“.</span> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”><em>European Parliament</em></span><em><span style=“font-weight: 400;”></span></em> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Yampolskiy, Roman. 2020. “</span><a href=“https://www.mdpi.com/journal/BDCC/special_issues/Artificial_Superintelligence”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Artificial Superintelligence: Coordination & Strategy</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“.</span> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”><em>Mdpi AG</em></span><em><span style=“font-weight: 400;”></span></em> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Schweisfurth, Tim, et al. 2020. “</span><a href=“https://www.fastcompany.com/90460778/can-ai-ever-rival-human-creativity-heres-what-the-science-says”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Can AI ever rival human creativity? Here’s what the science says</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“.</span> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”><em>Fast Company</em></span><em><span style=“font-weight: 400;”></span></em> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Cooper, Paul. 2019. “</span><a href=“https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestechcouncil/2019/10/18/how-technology-is-improving-the-patient-experience-and-health-outcomes”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>How Technology Is Improving The Patient Experience And Health Outcomes</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“.</span> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”><em>Forbes</em></span><em><span style=“font-weight: 400;”></span></em> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Piper, Kelsey. 2019. “</span><a href=“https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2019/3/2/18244299/possible-minds-architects-intelligence-ai-experts”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>How will AI change our lives? Experts can’t agree — and that could be a problem.</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“.</span> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”><em>Vox</em></span><em><span style=“font-weight: 400;”></span></em> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Alexander, Scott. 2018. “</span><a href=“https://slatestarcodex.com/2018/11/26/is-science-slowing-down-2/”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Is Science Slowing Down?</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“.</span> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”><em>Slate Star Codex</em></span><em><span style=“font-weight: 400;”></span></em> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Bort, Ryan. 2017. “</span><a href=“http://www.newsweek.com/artificial-intelligence-will-take-our-jobs-2060-618259”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Will AI Take Over? Artificial Intelligence Will Best Humans At Everything By 2060, Experts Say</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“</span><em><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>.</span></em> <em><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Newsweek.</span></em><span style=“font-weight: 400;”><br/></span> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Dormehl, Luke. 2017. “</span><a href=“https://www.yahoo.com/tech/forget-chess-experts-suggest-ai-185736517.html”>AI may beat humans at everything in 45 years, experts predict</a>“. <span style=“font-weight: 400;”><em>Yahoo.</em><br/></span> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”>Gray, Richard. 2017. “<a href=“http://www.bbc.com/capital/story/20170619-how-long-will-it-take-for-your-job-to-be-automated”>How long will it take for your job to be automated?</a>“. <i>BBC.</i> (Reposted by <a href=“https://www.oecd-forum.org/users/50593-oecd/posts/17928-hand-picked-news-for-you-how-long-will-it-take-for-your-job-to-be-automated”>OECD Forum</a>.)<i><br/></i> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”>MacDonald, Cheyenne. 2017. “<a href=“http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-4560824/AI-outperform-humans-tasks-just-45-years.html”>Artificial Intelligence will outperform humans in all tasks in just 45 years and could take over EVERY job in the next century, experts claim</a>“. <em>Daily Mail.</em> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Emerging Technology from the arXiv</span><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>. 2017.</span> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“</span><a href=“https://www.technologyreview.com/s/607970/experts-predict-when-artificial-intelligence-will-exceed-human-performance/”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Experts Predict When Artificial Intelligence Will Exceed Human Performance</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“</span><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>. <em>MIT Technology Review.</em></span> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>(This article also appeared in <a href=“http://www.businessinsider.com/experts-predict-when-ai-will-exceed-human-performance-2017-6”>Business Insider</a>.)</span> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”>Weller, Chris and Gould, Skye. 2017. “<a href=“http://www.businessinsider.com/when-robots-will-take-peoples-jobs-2017-6”>Here’s when robots will start beating humans at every task</a>“. <i>Business Insider</i>. </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>AKALib. 2017. “</span><a href=“https://www.dailykos.com/story/2017/6/4/1668920/-When-Will-AI-Exceed-Human-Performance”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>When Will AI Exceed Human Performance?</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“. <em>Daily Kos.</em><br/></span> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”>Tung, Liam. 2017. “<a href=“http://www.zdnet.com/article/ai-experts-predict-the-future-truck-drivers-out-of-jobs-by-2027-surgeons-by-2053/”>AI experts predict the future: Truck drivers out of jobs by 2027, surgeons by 2053</a>“. <em>ZDNet.</em> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Quach, Katyanna. 2017. “</span><a href=“https://www.theregister.co.uk/2017/05/26/job_automation_by_ai_timeline/”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Your job might be automated within 120 years, AI experts reckon</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“. <em>The Register.</em><br/></span> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”>Abbot, Nick. 2017. “<a href=“http://www.lbc.co.uk/radio/presenters/nick-abbot/blog/anything-we-can-do-they-can-do-better/”>Anything we can do, they can do better</a>“. <em>Leading Britain’s Conversation.</em> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Forrest, Conner. 2017. “</span><a href=“http://www.techrepublic.com/article/experts-say-theres-a-50-chance-ai-will-outperform-humans-in-every-job-in-45-years/”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Experts say there’s a 50% chance AI will outperform humans in every job in 45 years</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“. <em>Tech Republic.</em><br/></span> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Calamur, Harini. 2017. “</span><a href=“http://www.dnaindia.com/analysis/column-artificial-intelligence-is-the-next-big-threat-to-job-creation-2469051”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Artificial Intelligence is the next big threat to job creation</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“.</span> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”><em>Daily News and Analysis.</em></span> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”>Lagerquist, Jeff. 2017. “<a href=“http://www.ctvnews.ca/sci-tech/50-50-chance-machines-could-beat-humans-at-every-task-in-45-years-study-1.3468789”>50/50 chance machines could beat humans at ‘every task’ in 45 years: study</a>“. <i>CTV News.</i> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”>Kiernan. 2017. “<a href=“http://www.2oceansvibe.com/2017/06/19/lets-look-at-how-many-years-it-will-be-until-a-robot-takes-your-job/”>Let’s Look At How Many Years It Will Be Before A Robot Takes Your Job</a>“. <i>2OceansVibe. (</i>This article also appeared in <a href=“https://www.nigeriatoday.ng/2017/06/lets-look-at-how-many-years-it-will-be-until-a-robot-takes-your-job/”>Nigeria Today</a>.<i>)</i> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”>Gustavsson, Joonas. 2017. “<a href=“https://tekniikanmaailma.fi/muu-tekniikka/tekoalytuntijat-jumalankaltainen-homo-deus-syrjayttaa-nykyihmisen-ja-vuonna-2060-tekoaly-kaikessa-ihmista-parempi/”>Tekoälytuntijat: Jumalankaltainen ‘Homo Deus’ syrjäyttää nykyihmisen, ja vuonna 2060 tekoäly on kaikessa ihmistä parempi</a>“. <em>Tekniikan Maailma.</em> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Revell, Timothy. 2017. “</span><a href=“https://www.newscientist.com/article/2133188-ai-will-be-able-to-beat-us-at-everything-by-2060-say-experts/”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>AI will be able to beat us at everything by 2060, say experts</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“.</span> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”><em>New Scientist.</em></span> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Alexander, Scott. 2017. “</span><a href=“http://slatestarcodex.com/2017/06/08/ssc-journal-club-ai-timelines/”>SSC Journal Club: AI Timelines</a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“.</span> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”><em>Slate Star Codex.</em></span> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Faes, Florian. 2017. “</span><a href=“https://slator.com/academia/yale-oxford-enter-business-predicting-end-human-translator/”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Yale and Oxford Enter the Business of Predicting the End of the Human Translator</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“.</span> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”><em>Slator.</em></span> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Tiwari, Aditya. 2017. “</span><a href=“https://fossbytes.com/when-will-ai-exceed-human-performance-researchers-just-gave-the-timeline/”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>When Will AI Exceed Human Performance? Researchers Just Gave A Timeline</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“.</span> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”><em>Fossbytes.</em></span> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Owano, Nancy. 2017. “</span><a href=“https://techxplore.com/news/2017-06-experts-ai-surpass-humans-tasks.html”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Experts predict when AI will surpass humans in all tasks</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“.</span> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”><em>Tech XPlore.</em></span> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”>F, Jess. 2017. “<a href=“http://www.natureworldnews.com/articles/38347/20170606/ai-to-beat-humans-in-2060-but-elon-musk-believes-it-can-by-2030.htm”>AI to Beat Humans in 2060, But Elon Musk Believes it Can by 2030</a>“. <em>Nature World News.</em> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”>Treene, Alayna. 2017. “<a href=“https://www.axios.com/experts-predict-ai-machines-will-soon-become-to-superior-to-humans-2429612829.html”>A timeline of when AI could outperform humans</a>“. <em>Axios.</em> </div></li> <li><div class=“li”> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”>Scott, Peter. 2017. “</span><a href=“https://humancusp.com/2017/06/01/when-will-a-machine-do-your-job-better-than-you/”><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>When will a machine do your job better than you?</span></a><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>“.</span> <span style=“font-weight: 400;”><em>Human Cus</em></span><em><span style=“font-weight: 400;”>p.</span></em> </div></li> </ol> </HTML>

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