speed_of_ai_transition:range_of_human_performance:time_for_ai_to_cross_the_human_performance_range_in_chess
This is an old revision of the document!
Table of Contents
Time for AI to cross the human performance range in chess
Published 15 October, 2020; last updated 08 March, 2021
Progress in computer chess performance took:
- ~0 years to go from from playing chess at all to playing it at human beginner level
- ~49 years to go from human beginner level to superhuman level
- ~11 years to go from superhuman level to the the current highest performance
Details
Human range performance milestones
We use the common Elo system for measuring chess performance. Human chess Elo ratings range from around 800 (beginner)1) to 2882 (highest recorded).2) The highest recorded human score is likely higher than it would have been without chess AI existing, since top players can learn from the AI.3)
Times for machines to cross ranges
1)
“In general, a beginner (non-scholastic) is 800, the average player is 1500, and professional level is 2200.”
2)
“Elo Rating System.” In Wikipedia, October 12, 2020. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Elo_rating_system&oldid=983064897.
“Table of top 20 rated players of all-time, with date their best ratings were first achieved…1 2882 Magnus Carlsen May 2014 23 years, 5 months”
3)
“Comparison of Top Chess Players throughout History.” In Wikipedia, July 27, 2020. https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Comparison_of_top_chess_players_throughout_history&oldid=969714742.
For instance, the highest ranked player Magnus Carlsen has called AlphaZero his hero, and his strategy was noted by some to be reminiscent of it:
“This original strategy drew comparisons with the neural network program Alphazero, which Carlsen called his “hero” in a recent interview.” the Guardian. “Chess: Magnus Carlsen Scores in Alphazero Style in Hunt for Further Records,” June 28, 2019. http://www.theguardian.com/sport/2019/jun/28/chess-magnus-carlsen-scores-in-alphazero-style-hunts-new-record.
“This original strategy drew comparisons with the neural network program Alphazero, which Carlsen called his “hero” in a recent interview.” the Guardian. “Chess: Magnus Carlsen Scores in Alphazero Style in Hunt for Further Records,” June 28, 2019. http://www.theguardian.com/sport/2019/jun/28/chess-magnus-carlsen-scores-in-alphazero-style-hunts-new-record.
speed_of_ai_transition/range_of_human_performance/time_for_ai_to_cross_the_human_performance_range_in_chess.1667410230.txt.gz · Last modified: 2022/11/02 17:30 by rickkorzekwa
Except where otherwise noted, content on this wiki is licensed under the following license: CC0 1.0 Universal
