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Capabilities of state-of-the-art AI, 2024

This is a list of some noteworthy capabilities of current state-of-the-art AI in various categories. Last updated 1/24/2024

Games

  • In 2017, AlphaZero learned to play Chess, Shogi, and Go better than the best human players after less than 8 hours of training each, starting with no domain knowledge or examples of human play.1)
  • In 2020, MuZero also learned to play Chess, Shogi, and Go better than the best human players with no domain knowledge or examples of human play, and additionally without initially knowing the rules of the games.2)
    • In 2022, machine learning was used to discover adversarial strategies that humans can use to defeat the best Go AI3)
  • In 2020, Agent57 learned to play all 57 Atari games above average human level.4)
  • In 2021, EfficientZero, a variation of MuZero, learned to play 26 Atari games at 109% of median human performance after only 2 hours of gameplay.5)
  • In 2019, Pluribus won a game of Texas Hold’Em against 5 professional poker players. Pluribus was trained using self-play, starting with no human data or domain knowledge, and using the equivalent of $150 in compute.6)
  • In 2019, OpenAI Five defeated a professional Dota 2 team twice in 2019.7)
  • In 2019, OpenAI Five defeated 99.4% of Dota 2 players in public matches.8)
  • In 2019, AlphaStar reached Grandmaster level in Starcraft, playing with the same constraints as a human player (viewing the world through a camera, restricted clickrate).9)
  • DreamerV3 is a general algorithm from 2023 that can learn to play a variety of games without human data, and is able to collect diamonds in Minecraft.10)
  • In 2022, DeepNash won 84% of Stratego games against the top expert human players on Gravon games.11)
  • CICERO, from 2022, can play Diplomacy, a game that involves communicating and coordinating with other players. Cicero ranked in the top 10% of players who had played more than one game on webDiplomacy.net.12)

Examples and discussion of Diplomacy gameplay with Cicero

Language

  • GPT-4, a large language model from 2023, can write poetry, answer questions, reason about the world, have conversations, act out characters, and more.
Sample output from GPT-4
  • Large language models such as GPT-4 can also write code. GPT-4 correctly solved programming problems in the HumanEval dataset 67% of the time.
  • GPT-4 achieved human-level performance on various professional and academic exams, including SATs, AP exams, and the Uniform Bar Exam.
  • GPT-4 correctly answered 92% of the questions in GMS8K, a dataset of elementary school level math word problems.
  • Unlike other large language models, GPT-4 can accept text and images as input.13)
  • PaLM, a language model from 2022, surpassed average human performance on BIG-bench, “a collaborative benchmark aimed at producing challenging tasks for large language models.”14)
  • As of 2020, Google Translate supported over 100 languages. When translating from other languages into English, its translations received BLEU scores ranging from around 0.15 to 0.53, depending on the language. BLEU score is based on the similarity of a translation to one created by a human translator, and ranges from 0 to 1, where a score of 1 indicates output identical to a human translator.15)
  • Elicit is an AI research assistant from 2022 that, given a research question, can find relevant papers and summarize the findings of the top four papers.16)
  • In 2022, Ithaca restored the missing text in ancient Greek inscriptions with 62% accuracy.17)
  • In 2022, an AI system passed the human baseline for performance in natural language inference, a task that involves determining whether a hypothesis is true, false, or undetermined based on presented premises.18)

Images

  • GPT-4 can recognize and interpret the content of images. 19)
GPT-4 output correctly describing an uploaded image
  • Sensetime is a facial recognition system from 2014 that surpassed average human performance in accurately labeling faces in a large dataset of images.20)
  • LipNet is a lip-reading system from 2016 that reached superhuman performance in lip-reading.21)
  • AI systems created by Google have reached human-level performance in some tasks related to analyzing medical imaging.22)
  • CLIP, from 2021, can create a text description of an image.23)
  • DALL-E 3, from 2023, can generate novel images in many styles, given a text description from the user. It can occasionally produce coherent text within images. 24)
DALL-E 3 output with the prompt “A photo of a painted mural on the side of a building depicting an AI strategy researcher getting distracted from his work by extremely interesting artwork on his laptop screen. A thought bubble above his head says 'Wow, generative AI is quickly improving!'” For a subscription fee, DALL-E 3 is available to use at chat.openAI.com
  • Muse can also generate images from text descriptions, more efficiently than some other models such as DALL-E 2.25)
  • DeepFaceLab, from 2020, can swap a face in a video with another person’s face (“deepfakes”).26)
  • Generative adversarial networks such as StyleGAN2, from 2019, can be trained to create realistic images of something within a certain category, such as human faces.27)
This person does not exist. A demo of StyleGAN2 trained on human faces is available at this-person-does-not-exist.com
  • An AI system from 2023 can convincingly copy someone's handwriting after seeing only a few paragraphs of example text.28)
  • AI systems such as VideoPoet, from 2023, can generate short videos given a text description.29)

A movie composed of several individual video clips produced by VideoPoet

Audio

  • Many models can read text with a human-like voice. Tacotron 2, from 2017, generated voice samples that received a mean opinion score of 4.53/5 compared to 4.58/5 for professionally recorded human speech.30)
  • Automatic speech recognition systems can transcribe recordings of human speech. Whisper, from 2022, is able to transcribe recordings with an accuracy close to that of professional human transcribers.31)
  • AudioLM, from 2022, creates predicted “continuations” of an audio input.32)
  • Models such as Deep Voice 3, from 2018, can imitate a human voice based on a few samples of recorded speech.33)
  • Recent models such as Koe can take a recorded voice sample and change it into another voice.34)
  • Suno.ai, from 2023, can create songs with lyrics and instrumentation based on a text description of the song's style and subject. 35)

Output from Suno.AI, given the prompt “A soulful R&B song that is self-referentially about how the song is an example of AI-generated audio output on a wiki page about the capabilities of state-of-the-art AI systems”

Robotics

  • Although they are prone to occasional mistakes, self-driving cars are able to drive with human supervision.36)
  • In 2022, an AI-piloted drone won multiple races against three world-champion human drone pilots. 37)
  • A robot made by OpenAI in 2019 can solve a rubik’s cube with one human-like hand.38)
  • In 2022, a robot successfully performed laparoscopic surgery on four pigs, without human assistance.39)
  • Atlas, a humanoid robot, can walk, run, and perform parkour moves such as backflips.40)

A demo of the robot Atlas performing parkour.

Biology

  • Given a sequence of amino acids, AlphaFold 2, from 2022, can predict a 3d model of the protein that they make up.41) In CASP14 (Critical Assessment of Structure Prediction), AlphaFold 2’s predicted structures had a “median backbone accuracy of 0.96 Å r.m.s.d.95 (Cα root-mean-square deviation at 95% residue coverage) (95% confidence interval = 0.85–1.16 Å).”42)
  • In 2022 a model was able to predict the effect of a molecule on levels of an enzyme in humans and find molecules that inhibit a particular enzyme.43)
  • MinD-Vis, from 2022, can decode a subject’s brain activity to reconstruct an image that has some of the details and features of the image the subject is looking at.44)

Mathematics

  • In 2022, AlphaTensor discovered efficient new algorithms for matrix multiplication, including an algorithm that broke a 50-year record in efficiency for 4×4 matrices in a finite field.45)
  • In 2024, AlphaGeometry solved 25 out of 30 Olympiad-level geometry problems, approaching the level of an Olympiad gold medalist.46)
1)
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2)
Schrittwieser, J., Antonoglou, I., Hubert, T., Simonyan, K., Sifre, L., Schmitt, S., Guez, A., Lockhart, E., Hassabis, D., Graepel, T., Lillicrap, T., & Silver, D. (2019). Mastering Atari, Go, Chess and Shogi by Planning with a Learned Model. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-03051-4
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6)
Facebook, Carnegie Mellon build first AI that beats pros in 6-player poker. Meta AI. (2019, July 11). Retrieved November 22, 2022, from https://ai.facebook.com/blog/pluribus-first-ai-to-beat-pros-in-6-player-poker
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13) , 19)
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18)
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20)
Lu, C., & Tang, X. (2014). Surpassing Human-Level Face Verification Performance on LFW with GaussianFace. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.1404.3840
21)
Assael, Y. M., Shillingford, B., Whiteson, S., & de Freitas, N. (2016). LipNet: End-to-End Sentence-level Lipreading. arXiv. https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.1611.01599
22)
AI Imaging & Diagnostics. Google Health. (n.d.). Retrieved November 22, 2022, from https://health.google/health-research/imaging-and-diagnostics/
23)
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24)
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25)
Muse: Text-To-Image Generation via Masked Generative Transformers, https://muse-model.github.io/ . Accessed 9 January 2023.
26)
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27)
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28)
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29)
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uncategorized/capabilities_of_sota_ai.txt · Last modified: 2024/12/10 21:50 by harlanstewart

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