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+====== AI@50 Survey ======
+// Published 29 December, 2014; last updated 10 December, 2020 //
+<HTML>
+<p>A seemingly informal seven-question poll was taken of participants at the AI@50 conference in 2006. 41% of respondents said it would take more than 50 years for AI to simulate every aspect of human intelligence, and 41% said it would never happen.</p>
+</HTML>
+===== Details =====
+==== AI timelines question ====
+<HTML>
+<p>One question was “when will computers be able to simulate every aspect of human intelligence?” 41% of respondents said “More than 50 years” and 41% said “Never”.</p>
+</HTML>
+==== Participants and interpretation ====
+<HTML>
+<p>We do not know how many people participated in the conference or in the poll.</p>
+</HTML>
+<HTML>
+<p>Luke Muehlhauser <a href="http://intelligence.org/2013/05/15/when-will-ai-be-created/#footnote_2_10199">points out</a> that many of the respondents were probably college students, rather than experts, and that the question may have been interpreted as asking in part about the possibility of machine consciousness.</p>
+</HTML>
+==== Records of the poll ====
+<HTML>
+<p>Information about the poll was available at http://web.archive.org/web/20110710193831/http://www.engagingexperience.com/ai50/ when we put up this page, but it has since become inaccessible. Secondary descriptions of parts of it exist at https://intelligence.org/2013/05/15/when-will-ai-be-created/#footnote_2_10199 and http://sethbaum.com/ac/2011_AI-Experts.pdf</p>
+</HTML>

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