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ai_timelines:predictions_of_human-level_ai_timelines:ai_timeline_surveys:ai_timeline_surveys [2024/01/09 19:44]
harlanstewart Added 2023 ESPAI, updated the 2022 numbers to use the aggregate forecast
ai_timelines:predictions_of_human-level_ai_timelines:ai_timeline_surveys:ai_timeline_surveys [2024/01/09 20:12]
harlanstewart
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 -Harlan: I think that it's a bit inaccurate to say that  Gruetzemacher's survey had a response rate of 40%, because they only sent emails to those who said in person that they would be interested in taking the survey. I'm removing that number from the table -Harlan: I think that it's a bit inaccurate to say that  Gruetzemacher's survey had a response rate of 40%, because they only sent emails to those who said in person that they would be interested in taking the survey. I'm removing that number from the table
 +
 +-Harlan: This page generally could use some work, much of the discussion after the table was written long ago.
 +
 +-Harlan: Zach pointed out that we should add something about this survey as well https://www.generationlab.org/expertsai
 */ */
-// Published 10 January 2015; last updated 27 April 2023 //+// Published 10 January 2015; last updated 9 January 2024 //
  
  
ai_timelines/predictions_of_human-level_ai_timelines/ai_timeline_surveys/ai_timeline_surveys.txt · Last modified: 2024/01/09 20:12 by harlanstewart