ai_timelines:predictions_of_human-level_ai_timelines:ai_timeline_surveys:klein_agi_survey
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ai_timelines:predictions_of_human-level_ai_timelines:ai_timeline_surveys:klein_agi_survey [2022/09/21 07:37] (current) |
| ====== Klein AGI Survey ====== |
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| // Published 29 December, 2014; last updated 10 December, 2020 // |
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| <p>Futurist Bruce Klein ran an informal <a href="http://web.archive.org/web/20110226225452/http://www.novamente.net/bruce/?p=54">online survey</a> in 2007, asking ‘When will AI surpass human-level intelligence?”. He got 888 responses, from ‘friends’ of unspecified nature.</p> |
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| ===== Details ===== |
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| <p>The results are shown below, taken from <a href="http://sethbaum.com/ac/2011_AI-Experts.pdf">Baum et al, p4.</a> Roughly 50% of respondents gave answers before 2050.</p> |
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ai_timelines/predictions_of_human-level_ai_timelines/ai_timeline_surveys/klein_agi_survey.txt · Last modified: 2022/09/21 07:37 (external edit)