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responses_to_ai:technological_inevitability:incentivized_technologies_not_pursued:start [2023/03/30 23:57] jeffreyheninger |
responses_to_ai:technological_inevitability:incentivized_technologies_not_pursued:start [2023/10/23 17:19] (current) jeffreyheninger Atomic gardening was apparently more common than I thought |
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These are cases where incentives to pursue a technology were overcome by concerns about downsides not imminently accruing to the decision-maker (e.g. risks to distant people, ethical concerns). These cases are being collected via the [[responses_to_ai: | These are cases where incentives to pursue a technology were overcome by concerns about downsides not imminently accruing to the decision-maker (e.g. risks to distant people, ethical concerns). These cases are being collected via the [[responses_to_ai: | ||
+ | |||
+ | === Investigated cases === | ||
+ | |||
+ | ^ Technology ^ Key Actors ^ Value Resisted ^ Time Period ^ Explanation ^ | ||
+ | | [[responses_to_ai: | ||
+ | | [[responses_to_ai: | ||
+ | | [[responses_to_ai: | ||
=== Plausible cases === | === Plausible cases === | ||
- | This is a non-exhaustive list of plausible cases. Inclusion on this list does not imply any degree of confidence. | + | This is a non-exhaustive list of plausible cases that we have not investigated. |
* Chlorofluorocarbons, | * Chlorofluorocarbons, | ||
* Nanotechnology, | * Nanotechnology, | ||
Line 19: | Line 26: | ||
* Dietary restrictions, | * Dietary restrictions, | ||
* GMOs, in some countries | * GMOs, in some countries | ||
- | * Atomic gardening | ||
* Use of nuclear explosions in construction | * Use of nuclear explosions in construction | ||
* Fracking, in some countries | * Fracking, in some countries | ||
* Various weapons (nuclear, chemical, biological, land mines, etc), in some countries and at some times | * Various weapons (nuclear, chemical, biological, land mines, etc), in some countries and at some times | ||
- | === Investigated cases === | ||
- | |||
- | * [[responses_to_ai: | ||
- | * [[responses_to_ai: | ||
- | * [[responses_to_ai: | ||
==== Other notable failures of selfish expected value maximization in pursuing technologies ==== | ==== Other notable failures of selfish expected value maximization in pursuing technologies ==== | ||
=== Plausible cases === | === Plausible cases === | ||
+ | (We have not investigated these cases) | ||
+ | |||
* AI winters | * AI winters | ||
* Delay in nuclear weapons research early in WWII | * Delay in nuclear weapons research early in WWII | ||
* Excalibur | * Excalibur | ||
- | === Investigated cases === | ||
- | * //(To be added)// | ||