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ai_timelines:predictions_of_human-level_ai_timelines:ai_timeline_prediction_markets [2023/05/04 19:21] harlanstewart |
ai_timelines:predictions_of_human-level_ai_timelines:ai_timeline_prediction_markets [2024/01/29 22:33] (current) harlanstewart |
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====== AI Timeline Prediction Markets ====== | ====== AI Timeline Prediction Markets ====== | ||
- | As of May 4 2023, prediction markets and aggregators predict years between 2031 and 2038 for the arrival of human-level AI. | + | As of this page's last update on January 29 2024, prediction markets and aggregators |
===== Details ===== | ===== Details ===== | ||
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[[https:// | [[https:// | ||
- | We know of two user-created markets on Manifold about the year in which human-level AI will arrive. Unfortunately, | + | We know of two user-created markets on Manifold about the year in which human-level AI will arrive. Unfortunately, |
< | < |