This is an old revision of the document!
Published 17 August, 2023
The 2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI is currently in progress, and this page will be updated as details and results become available.
AI Impacts is preparing to run the 2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI (2023 ESPAI).
The 2023 ESPAI will be a rerun of the 2022 ESPAI and the 2016 ESPAI, previous surveys ran by AI Impacts in collaboration with others. Almost all of the questions in the 2023 ESPAI will be identical to those in both the 2022 ESPAI and 2016 ESPAI.
For all authors who published at a selection of top-tier machine learning conferences in 2022 (including ICML, NeurIPS, and others to be determined), we will contact those whose email addresses we can find. Most will be offered a substantial payment to participate (most often \$50 USD).
As in the previous expert surveys conducted by AI Impacts, different phrasings of some questions will be randomly assigned to each respondent to measure the effects of framing differences. Each participant will also received a randomized subset of certain question types and questions within certain types.
These things are expected to be different from the 2022 Expert Survey on Progress in AI