AI Impacts aims to help answer decision-relevant questions about the future of artificial intelligence. The AI Impacts Wiki aims to clearly document what is known so far about the answers to these questions. https://aiimpacts.org also publishes research reports, and the AI Impacts blog.

The monarch butterfly can fly further on one megajoule of energy than any man-made machine we know of.

• 2022 Expert Survey on Progress in AI
• Likelihood of discontinuous progress around the development of AGI
• AI vignettes project
• Fiction relevant to AI futurism
• How energy efficient are human-engineered flight designs relative to natural ones?
• Time for AI to cross the human performance range in ImageNet image classification
• Surveys on fractional progress towards HLAI
• Precedents for economic n-year doubling before 4n-year doubling
• Resolutions of mathematical conjectures over time
• Preliminary survey of prescient actions
• Evidence against current methods leading to human level artificial intelligence
• Investigation into the relationship between neuron count and intelligence across differing cortical architectures

See the sitemap for all pages organized by topic.

• Will advanced AI pose an existential risk to humanity?
• When will AI systems with all the capacities of humans be developed?
• How rapid is the development of AI likely to be near human-level?
• How wide is the range of human performance?

For information about using this wiki, see the page wiki:howto. For the main AI Impacts website see https://aiimpacts.org.