AI Impacts aims to help answer decision-relevant questions about the future of artificial intelligence. The AI Impacts Wiki aims to clearly document what is known so far about the answers to these questions. AI Impacts also publishes research reports, and the AI Impacts blog. For the main AI Impacts website see https://aiimpacts.org.

The monarch butterfly can fly further on one megajoule of energy than any man-made machine we know of.

• 2022 Expert Survey on Progress in AI
• Likelihood of discontinuous progress around the development of AGI
• AI vignettes project
• Fiction relevant to AI futurism
• How energy efficient are human-engineered flight designs relative to natural ones?
• Time for AI to cross the human performance range in ImageNet image classification
• Surveys on fractional progress towards HLAI
• Precedents for economic n-year doubling before 4n-year doubling
• Resolutions of mathematical conjectures over time
• Preliminary survey of prescient actions
• Evidence against current methods leading to human level artificial intelligence
• Investigation into the relationship between neuron count and intelligence across differing cortical architectures

See the sitemap for all pages organized by topic.

• Will advanced AI pose an existential risk to humanity?
• When will AI systems with all the capacities of humans be developed?
• How rapid is the development of AI likely to be near human-level?
• How wide is the range of human performance?

For information about using this wiki, see the page wiki:howto.

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