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Complete list of pages, in order of most recently modified to least recently modified
- Capabilities of state-of-the-art AI, 2024
- How much computing capacity exists in GPUs and TPUs in Q1 2023?
- Argument for AI x-risk from large impacts
- Surveys of experts on levels of AI Risk
- Arguments for AI x-risk from destructive multi-agent dynamics
- Argument for AI x-risk from loss of control through speed
- Argument for AI x-risk from loss of control through inferiority
- Second species argument for AI x-risk
- Argument for AI x-risk from powerful black boxes
- Arguments for AI x-risk from catastrophic tools
- Argument for AI x-risk from variance in human values
- Views of prominent AI developers on risk from AI
- Interview with Victoria Krakovna on the strength of the evidence for AI risk claims
- Interview with Jacob Hilton on the strength of the evidence for AI risk claims
- Interview on the strength of the evidence for AI risk claims with an anonymous AI alignment researcher
- Scenarios and supporting arguments
- The range of human intelligence
- List of AI Impacts' citations
- Surveys of public opinion on AI
- 2023 Expert Survey on Progress in AI
- Surveys of US public opinion on AI
- AI Timeline Surveys
- AI Timeline Prediction Markets
- Examples of Warning Signs
- Quantitative Estimates of AI Risk
- Collected empirical evidence for misalignment and power-seeking behavior in AI
- Examples of Regulated Things
- Resisted Technological Temptations Project
- Resisted Technological Temptation: Geoengineering
- 2022 Expert Survey on Progress in AI
- List of possible risks from AI
- Likelihood of discontinuous progress around the development of AGI
- page_list
- Examples of Progress for a Particular Technology Stopping
- Cognitive capabilities of insects
- Affordances for AI labs
- AI labs' statements on governance
- March 2023 Recent trends in funding for AI companies
- Factors that affect the price of GPUs
- Predictions of Human-Level AI Timelines
- Preliminary survey of prescient actions
- AI Safety Arguments Affected by Chaos
- Chaos in Humans
- Resisted Technological Temptation: Vaccine Challenge Trials
- Global computing capacity
- Resisted Technological Temptation: Nuclear Power
- Funding of AI Research
- Historic trends in ship size
- Bug List
- Affordances for states
- List of Analyses of Time to Human-Level AI
- List of sources arguing for existential risk from AI
- Do neural networks learn human concepts?
- Solutions to common problems
- 2019 recent trends in GPU price per FLOPS
- Fiction relevant to AI futurism
- AI Vignettes Project
- Historic trends in altitude
- Time for AI to cross the human performance range in chess
- Costs of extinction risk mitigation
- Examples of early action on risks
- How energy efficient are human-engineered flight designs relative to natural ones?
- Energy efficiency of Airbus Zephyr S
- Historic trends in manned altitude
- Evidence against current methods leading to human level artificial intelligence
- Katja Grace
- Range of human performance
- Artificial Intelligence
- atest
- Playground
- Technical Details
- Ben Weinstein-Raun
- Energy efficiency of Wright Flyer
- Energy efficiency of wandering albatross flight
- Energy efficiency of Wright model B
- Energy efficiency of Vickers Vimy plane
- Energy efficiency of The Spirit of Butt’s Farm
- Energy efficiency of paramotors
- Hardware overhang
- Energy efficiency of monarch butterfly flight
- Energy efficiency of MacCready Gossamer Albatross
- Possible Empirical Investigations
- Promising research projects
- AI Impacts 2020 review
- Methodology for discontinuous progress investigation
- Energy efficiency of North American P-51 Mustang
- AI Impacts key questions of interest
- Time for AI to cross the human performance range in diabetic retinopathy
- Historic trends in light intensity
- Examples of AI systems producing unconventional solutions
- Penicillin and historic syphilis trends
- Incomplete case studies of discontinuous progress
- Historic trends in transatlantic passenger travel
- Historic trends in transatlantic message speed
- Historic trends in the maximum superconducting temperature
- Historic trends in telecommunications performance
- Historic trends in slow light technology
- Historic trends in particle accelerator performance
- Historic trends in long-range military payload delivery
- Historic trends in land speed records
- Time for AI to cross the human performance range in Go
- Historic trends in flight airspeed records
- Historic trends in chess AI
- Historic trends in bridge span length
- Energy efficiency of Boeing 747-400
- Effects of breech loading rifles on historic trends in firearm progress
- Effect of nuclear weapons on historic trends in explosives
- Effect of Eli Whitney’s cotton gin on historic trends in cotton ginning
- Effect of AlexNet on historic trends in image recognition
- Time for AI to cross the human range in StarCraft
- Time for AI to cross the human range in English draughts
- Historic trends in book production
- Time for AI to cross the human performance range in ImageNet image classification
- Energy efficiency of Airbus A320
- MIRI AI Predictions Dataset
- Conversation with Steve Potter
- Cost of human-level information storage
- The cost of TEPS
- 2019 recent trends in Geekbench score per CPU price
- Sources of advantage for digital agents over biological agents
- Current FLOPS prices
- Neuron firing rates in humans
- Discontinuous progress investigation
- Electrical efficiency of computing
- Early Views of AI
- Investigation into the relationship between neuron count and intelligence across differing cortical architectures
- Information storage in the brain
- Nordhaus hardware price performance dataset
- Trends in DRAM price per gigabyte
- Historical economic growth trends
- Price-performance trend in top supercomputers
- Guide to pages on AI timeline predictions
- Brain performance in TEPS
- Group Differences in AI Predictions
- Incentives to create AI systems known to pose extinction risks
- Interviews on plausibility of AI safety by default
- Returns to scale in research
- Research topic: Hardware, software and AI
- Precedents for economic n-year doubling before 4n-year doubling
- List of multipolar research projects
- Brain performance in FLOPS
- Glossary of AI Risk Terminology and common AI terms
- Evidence on good forecasting practices from the Good Judgment Project
- Cases of Discontinuous Technological Progress
- AI Impacts research bounties
- Conversation with Rohin Shah
- Conversation with Robin Hanson
- Conversation with Paul Christiano
- Conversation with Ernie Davis
- Conversation with Adam Gleave
- Human-Level AI
- Stuart Russell’s description of AI risk
- List of sources arguing against existential risk from AI
- Progress in general purpose factoring
- AI conference attendance
- Surveys on fractional progress towards HLAI
- Outcomes of inducement prizes
- Müller and Bostrom AI Progress Poll
- AGI-11 survey
- Michie Survey
- 2016 ESPAI Narrow AI task forecast timeline
- 2016 ESPAI questions printout
- 2016 Expert Survey on Progress in AI
- AGI-09 Survey
- AI@50 Survey
- Automation of music production
- Bainbridge Survey
- Concrete AI tasks for forecasting
- Etzioni 2016 survey
- FHI Winter Intelligence Survey
- Hanson AI Expert Survey
- Klein AGI Survey
- Kruel AI Interviews
- Media discussion of 2016 ESPAI
- Walsh 2017 survey
- 2018 price of performance by Tensor Processing Units
- Accuracy of AI Predictions
- Scale of the Human Brain
- Allen, The Singularity Isn’t Near
- Comparison of naturally evolved and engineered solutions
- Computing hardware performance data collections
- Conversation with Tom Griffiths
- Costs of human-level hardware
- Costs of information storage
- Effect of marginal hardware on artificial general intelligence
- Historic trends in structure heights
- Human-level hardware timeline
- Index of articles about hardware
- Kurzweil, The Singularity is Near
- Metabolic Estimates of Rate of Cortical Firing
- 2017 trend in the cost of computing
- Resolutions of mathematical conjectures over time
- Transmitting fibers in the brain: Total length and distribution of lengths
- AI Timeline predictions in surveys and statements
- Trend in compute used in training for headline AI results
- Chance date bias
- Publication biases toward shorter predictions
- Selection bias from optimistic experts
- Similarity Between Historical and Contemporary AI Predictions
- Coordinated human action as example of superhuman intelligence
- The Maes-Garreau Law
- 2015 FLOPS prices
- Wikipedia history of GFLOPS costs
- Was the industrial revolution a drastic departure from historic trends?
- Trends in the cost of computing
- Trends in algorithmic progress
- What do coherence arguments imply about the behavior of advanced AI?
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meta/page_list.1682537712.txt.gz · Last modified: 2023/04/26 19:35 by harlanstewart
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